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NFL analysts predict who Bears will pick

In his third mock draft released Tuesday, ESPN analyst Mel Kiper Jr. predicts that the Bears will select Georgia outside linebacker Leonard Floyd with the 11th pick.

"The Bears did work on the interior of the defensive line in the 2015 draft," Kiper writes, "but they need pass-rushers and Floyd is a big-time upside play."

During a conference call with the media Tuesday, Kiper said that he's being told by NFL teams that Floyd will be selected in the top half of the first round. But Kiper sounded as if he'd be hesitant to pull the trigger too early because he feels that Floyd was inconsistent in college.

"I thought he was quiet in some games I watched where he really shouldn't have been considering his talent and his physical ability," Kiper said. "He's one of those guys I wouldn't say boom-or-bust, but he's a tough guy to get a handle on.

"He's more of a finesse player than a real physical player. There were times where he was handled, he was blocked, he wasn't as active, wasn't as disruptive as you would think somebody with that kind of size, that kind of athletic ability, that kind of quickness should be."

Kiper also speculated that the Bears could trade down a couple spots and select Eastern Kentucky outside linebacker Noah Spence or Alabama linebacker Reggie Ragland.

"As long as they stay ahead of Atlanta at 17 and the Jets at 20 and Washington at 21, they should be pretty safe," Kiper said.

Here's who 12 other NFL analysts think the Bears will choose at No. 11:

Will Brinson, CBS Sports
Pick: Alabama defensive tackle A'Shawn Robinson
Comment: "Big body to go on a defensive front as Vic Fangio and John Fox continue to revamp."

Bucky Brooks, NFL.com
Pick: Alabama inside linebacker Reggie Ragland
Comment: "John Fox and Vic Fangio could view the Alabama standout as the ideal traffic cop to run the defense in the Windy City."

Dane Brugler, CBS Sports
Pick: Ohio State linebacker Darron Lee
Comment: "Lee is a versatile run-and-hit linebacker who fits today's NFL and transcends scheme, suiting the Bears' 3-4 base defense."

Chris Burke, Sports Illustrated
Pick: Eastern Kentucky outside linebacker Noah Spence
Comment: "It's hard to know exactly which teams are or aren't comfortable with Spence's off-field red flags following the combine meetings. His size (6' 2", 251 pounds) pairs better with a 3–4 front, as Chicago runs, than the Giants' 4–3. He can be dominant off the edge getting after the quarterback. But does a team trust him enough to justify picking him this high?"

Charles Davis, NFL.com
Pick: Notre Dame offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley
Comment: "Kyle Long has RT locked down. Now he gets a running mate that should hold down the LT spot for the next decade."

Daniel Jeremiah, NFL.com
Pick: Notre Dame offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley
Comment: "Stanley is a Day 1 starting left tackle."

Nick Klopsis, Newsday
Pick: Oregon defensive end DeForest Buckner
Comment: "The Bears' defense switched to a 3-4 front in 2015, and while they got some surprising contributions from the likes of Jarvis Jenkins, Will Sutton and Mitch Unrein, they could use some more impact players in the front seven. Luckily for them, Oregon's DeForest Buckner is just that. At 6-7 and 291 pounds, the junior defensive end has the size to occupy gaps as well as the athleticism to get to the backfield. With Jenkins and Unrein set to hit free agency, Buckner can slide right in at five-technique alongside 2015 second-round nose tackle Eddie Goldman, giving the Bears' defensive line two very talented youngsters to build around."

Todd McShay, ESPN
Pick: Clemson defensive end Shaq Lawson
Comment: "The Bears need more impact players on defense, and Lawson—who led the FBS with 25.5 tackles for loss last season—fits the bill. He plays with a good mixture of relentlessness, technique and discipline. Lawson isn't the best athlete on tape, but he tested well at the combine and has a good first step."

Matt Miller, Bleacher Report
Pick: Ohio State linebacker Darron Lee
Comment: "Few players enjoyed as productive a week as Darron Lee had at the scouting combine. Weighing in at 6'1" and 232 pounds, the freak linebacker ran a 4.43 in the 40 and vertical-jumped 35.5". Lee, who many are comparing to former Ohio State linebacker Ryan Shazier, would be a nightmare for offenses in Vic Fangio's defense. There's a precedent here given Fangio's love for athletic inside linebackers Patrick Willis and NaVorro Bowman when he ran the defense in San Francisco. Lee, while not as instinctive as either Willis or Bowman, has the speed to run with tight ends, the pass-rush skills to crash the A-gaps and the toughness to track down the ball in the run game. The rebuilding project in Chicago will take two or three draft classes to complete, but adding Lee next to Christian Jones on the inside of the defense helps the cause."

Pete Prisco, CBS Sports
Pick: Ohio State cornerback Eli Apple
Comment: "Kyle Fuller is a good player at one corner, but they need more help at the other. Apple has a ton of talent, but some scouts are concerned about his easy-going approach. Does he love it? Bears coordinator Vic Fangio will make sure he does."

Rob Rang, CBS Sports
Pick: Alabama inside linebacker Reggie Ragland
Comment: "The Bears made strides defensively in the first year under coach John Fox and coordinator Vic Fangio, but this remains a largely toothless defense. Ragland won't be viewed by everyone as a great value this early, but his instincts, physicality and ability to rush make him an ideal fit in the Bears' 3-4 base defense."

Peter Schrager, FOX Sports
Pick: Ohio State linebacker Darron Lee
Comment: "There will be nearly a dozen players out of Ohio State drafted in the first 100 picks. Lee is second on my list behind Bosa and could be the best of all of them at the next level. He's a bit small on first sight and doesn't look like a traditional NFL linebacker (235 pounds), but Lee flies all over the field and can rush the quarterback. The Bears need defensive help at all three levels, and Lee, who ran a 4.47 40-yard dash, can clean up the middle. He's been compared to Lavonte David. He could end up being better."

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